Weather Sensitivity of Physically based Model of Residential Air-Conditioners for Direct Load Control: A Case Study

S. El-Férik, S.A. Hussain, and F.M. AL-Sunni (Saudi Arabia)


Weather sensitivity-Physical model-Jump Markov models - Load modeling - Identification


In most electricity systems the residential sector is one of the main contributors to system peaks. Hot and humid sum mer seasons lead to a significant proportion of the supplied power being used on air-conditioning. In this work, we ad dress the identification problem of the parameters of an ag gregated elemental physically based model representing a housing unit with an A/C system. The identification is done to validate the model using a pilot house equipped with an independent air conditioner system. An online maximum likelihood based-identification algorithm is developed. The required hardware and system instrumentation are detailed. A sensitivity analysis study of the model for variations in humidity and solar radiation is also reported. Results re veals that the physically based model succeed to capture the effect of the outdoor weather conditions. The equiva lent model identified under different humidity and ambient temperature represents the real load perceived by the utility.

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