A Markov Chain Repurchasing Model for CRM using System Dynamics

S.L. Chan and W.H. Ip (PRC)


Markov Chains, System Dynamics, Repurchasing, CRM


Customer retention as part of customer relationship management (CRM) is increasingly important in today’s dynamics competitive environment, as customer retention cost is lower than acquisition cost. In CRM, it is beneficial for a firm to estimate expected customer lifetime value (CLV) at the individual level rather than taking an average profit from all customers. This helps a firm to determine its future efforts for remarketing its customers in a more accurate manner. The Markov Chains Model (MCM) as a probabilistic model is appropriate for modeling customer relationships, and estimating CLV. Based on the theory of the Markov Chains Model (MCM) for CRM, we build up a repurchasing model for modeling the customer retention situation in CRM using a system dynamics approach, which results in the probability outcomes for estimating CLV in MCM afterwards. The aim of this paper is to introduce the modeling of the repurchasing Markov Chains model, and use its simulation results to calculate CLV for better CRM solutions.

Important Links:

Go Back